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白血病患儿 CAR-T 细胞治疗后下呼吸道感染预测模型的构建

英文原题:Construction of a predictive model for lower respiratory tract infection in children with leukemia after chimeric antigen receptor T cell therapy.

查看英文原题

Construction of a predictive model for lower respiratory tract infection in children with leukemia after chimeric antigen receptor T cell therapy.

PubMed 2026/01/16(内容时间) Transl Pediatr Q2 · IF 2(JCR 2025)

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研究概要

本研究构建了白血病患儿在接受 CAR-T 细胞治疗后 0-30 天内 LRTI 的风险预测模型。

中文摘要

**背景:**CAR-T(CAR-T)细胞治疗儿童复发/难治性白血病取得突破性进展。随着研究持续推进及临床应用增加,CAR-T 治疗后的感染逐渐受到关注。下呼吸道感染(LRTI)占全部感染事件的19.2%,并曾导致患者死亡。

本研究旨在探究接受CAR-T 治疗的白血病患儿发生LRTI的危险因素并建立风险预测模型。**方法:**回顾性收集2023年11月至2024年12月上海一家三级甲等儿童医院接受CAR-T 治疗的白血病患儿临床数据,分析LRTI独立危险因素并构建预测模型。采用Hosmer-Lemeshow检验和受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积评估模型拟合度和区分度,并构建列线图以可视化模型。**结果:**研究纳入265例,CAR-T 治疗后0–30天内LRTI发生率为14.7%。LRTI危险因素包括血小板计数(PLT)<50×10^9/L(X1)、微小残留病(MRD)>20%(X2)、地塞米松剂量>10 mg(X3)及异体CAR-T(X4)。

回归方程为:LRTI发生风险y=1.027X1+1.079X2+1.187X3+1.096X4。Hosmer-Lemeshow检验χ²=2.674(P=0.95)。ROC曲线下面积为0.781(P<0.001),最大Youden指数为0.468,截断值0.139,敏感度76.9%,特异度69.9%。**结论:**本研究建立了白血病患儿CAR-T 治疗后0–30天内发生LRTI的风险预测模型,预测因素为PLT<50×10^9/L、MRD>20%、地塞米松用量>10 mg及异体CAR-T。

展开英文摘要原文

Chimeric antigen receptor T (CAR-T) cells have achieved breakthrough results in the treatment of refractory/relapsed leukemia in children. With the continuous development of research and increasing clinical application, infection events after CAR-T cell therapy have gradually attracted the attention of researchers. Lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) events accounted for 19.2% of the total number of infection events and resulted in patient death. This study aims to investigate the risk factors of LRTI in children with leukemia who received CAR-T cell therapy and construct a risk predictive model.

The clinical data of children with leukemia receiving CAR-T cell therapy in a tertiary A children's hospital in Shanghai from November 2023 to December 2024 were retrospectively collected, and the independent risk factors for LRTI were analyzed, and a risk predictive model was constructed. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used to evaluate the fitting degree and discrimination of the predictive model, and a nomogram was constructed to visualize the model.

A total of 265 cases were included in this study, and the incidence of LRTI within 0-30 days after CAR-T cell therapy was 14.7%. The risk factors for developing LRTI were platelet count (PLT) <50 10 9 /L (X1), minimal residual disease (MRD) >20% (X2), dosage of dexamethasone greater than 10 mg (X3), and allogeneic CAR-T (X4), and the regression equation was: occurrence y (incidence of LRTI) = 1.027 X1 + 1.079 X2 + 1.187 X3 + 1.096 X4. Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that 2 was 2.674 (P=0.95). The area under the ROC curve was 0.781 (P<0.001), the maximum Youden index was 0.468, the cut-off value was 0.139, the sensitivity was 76.9%, and the specificity was 69.9%.

In this study, a risk predictive model for LRTI in children with leukemia within 0-30 days after CAR-T cell therapy was constructed. The predictive factors were PLT <50 10 9 /L, MRD >20%, dexamethasone use greater than 10 mg, and allogeneic CAR-T.

论文信息

作者
Tao L、He M、Zhang X、Sun J、Shen N、Shen B
第一作者单位
Department of Hematology and Oncology, Shanghai Children's Medical Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.China
通讯作者单位
Department of Nursing, Shanghai Children's Medical Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.China
期刊
Translational pediatrics2026 Jan 31
原文标识
PubMed 41657452 · DOI 10.21037/tp-2025-503