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整合可解释机器学习与多组学分析用于免疫治疗应答癌症的生存预测

英文原题:Integrated explainable machine learning and multi-omics analysis for survival prediction in cancer with immunotherapy response.

查看英文原题

Integrated explainable machine learning and multi-omics analysis for survival prediction in cancer with immunotherapy response.

PubMed 2024/12/04(内容时间) Apoptosis Q1 · IF 9(JCR 2025)

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中文摘要

为证明机器学习模型预测黑色素瘤死亡风险的效能,并更好理解癌症生存预测,本研究开发了一种可解释性模型。研究先鉴定最优特征,使用10种不同机器学习模型,在多个数据集中预测死亡风险;随后利用这些方法识别出的重要特征,构建名为NKECLR的新模型,用于预测癌症患者死亡风险。为明确模型决策过程并发现新线索,研究采用结合机器学习、SHapley加性解释(SHAP)及LIME的可解释方法,并鉴定出4个基因:EPGN、PHF11、RBM34和ZFP36。训练和验证数据集的实验分析显示,该模型表现良好,优于现有方法,AUC分别为81.8%和79.3%。NKECLR与PD-L1、PD-1及CTLA-4结合时,AUC达到83.0%。

最后,研究将这些发现用于理解药物和免疫治疗应答。本研究提出利用自然杀伤(NK)细胞标志基因构建的创新NKECLR模型,用于黑色素瘤队列的预后预测;该模型可有效预测患者生存和治疗结局,并揭示高风险组免疫细胞浸润特征不同。

展开英文摘要原文

To demonstrate the efficacy of machine learning models in predicting mortality in melanoma cancer, we developed an interpretability model for better understanding the survival prediction of cancer. To this end, the optimal features were identified, ten different machine learning models were utilized to predict mortality across various datasets. Then we have utilized the important features identified by those machines learning methods to construct a new model named NKECLR to forecast mortality of patient with cancer.

To explicitly clarify the model's decision-making process and uncover novel findings, an interpretable technique incorporating machine learning and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), as well as LIME, has been employed, and four genes EPGN, PHF11, RBM34, and ZFP36 were identified from those machine learning(ML). The experimental analysis conducted on training and validation datasets demonstrated that the proposed model has a good performance com- pared to existing methods with AUC value 81. 8%, and 79. 3%, respectively.

Moreover, when combined our NKECLR with PD-L1, PD-1, and CTLA-4 the AUC value was 83%0.

Finally, these findings have been applied to comprehend the response of drugs and immunotherapy.

Our research introduced an innovative predictive NKECLR model utilizing natural killer(NK) cell marker genes for cohorts with melanoma cancer. The NKECLR model can effectively predict the survival of melanoma cancer cohorts and treatment results, revealing distinct immune cell infiltration in the high-risk group.

论文信息

作者
Hounye AH、Xiong L、Hou M
第一作者单位
General surgery department of Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, 139 Renmin Road, Changsha, 410011, Hunan, China. hounyeal@csu.edu.cn.China
通讯作者单位
General surgery department of Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, 139 Renmin Road, Changsha, 410011, Hunan, China. lixionghn@163.com.China
文献类型
非美国政府资助研究
期刊
Apoptosis : an international journal on programmed cell death2025 Feb
原文标识
PubMed 39633110 · DOI 10.1007/s10495-024-02050-4