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基于医学影像的机器学习模型预测胸部肿瘤中 PD-L1 和 CD8+TILs 表达的性能:系统综述与 Meta 分析

英文原题:Performance of Machine Learning Models Based on Medical Imaging in Predicting the expression of PD-L1 and CD8+TILs in Thoracic cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

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Performance of Machine Learning Models Based on Medical Imaging in Predicting the expression of PD-L1 and CD8+TILs in Thoracic cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

PubMed 2025/11/07(内容时间) Acad Radiol Q1 · IF 4.7(JCR 2025)

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研究概要

AI 驱动的医学影像对胸部肿瘤 TIME 展现出较强的预测能力,尤其是在 PD-L1 表达和 CD8+ TIL 预测方面。然而,显著的硏究间异质性限制了当前模型的普适性。未来研究应优先开展多中心、大规模研究,标准化影像特征提取,并整合生物学机制,以提高 AI 模型的临床适用性。

研究思路结论见上方概要

遵循PRISMA指南,我们系统检索了PubMed、Cochrane、Embase和Web of Science,检索截至2025年7月1日发表的研究。纳入评估AI驱动的医学影像用于预测胸部肿瘤TIME的研究。提取诊断准确性数据,并采用随机效应模型进行meta分析,以评估AI模型对PD-L1表达和CD8+ TILs的预测性能。同时进行了异质性分析和发表偏倚评估。

共纳入68项研究,其中25项符合meta分析条件。AI驱动的医学影像预测PD-L1表达的合并AUC为0.81(95% CI:0.78-0.85),敏感性为0.77(95% CI:0.74-0.80),特异性为0.73(95% CI:0.71-0.76)。对于CD8+ TIL预测,合并AUC为0.86(95% CI:0.82-0.89),敏感性为0.81(95% CI:0.72-0.87),特异性为0.81(95% CI:0.76-0.84)。亚组分析表明,整合多模态成像和深度学习模型可提高预测性能。然而,研究间存在显著异质性(I > 75%)。

展开英文摘要原文

Following PRISMA guidelines, we systematically searched PubMed, Cochrane, Embase, and Web of Science for studies published up to July 01, 2025. Studies evaluating AI-driven medical imaging for predicting thoracic tumor TIME were included. Diagnostic accuracy data were extracted, and a meta-analysis was conducted using a random-effects model to assess the predictive performance of AI models for PD-L1 expression and CD8+ TILs. Heterogeneity analysis and publication bias assessment were also performed.

A total of 68 studies were included, of which 25 were eligible for meta-analysis. The pooled area under the curve (AUC) for AI-driven medical imaging prediction of PD-L1 expression was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.78-0.85), with a sensitivity of 0.77 (95% CI: 0.74-0.80) and a specificity of 0.73 (95% CI: 0.71-0.76). For CD8+ TIL prediction, the pooled AUC was 0.86 (95% CI: 0.82-0.89), with a sensitivity of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.72-0.87) and a specificity of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.76-0.84). Subgroup analysis indicated that integrating multimodal imaging and deep learning models improved predictive performance. Nevertheless, considerable heterogeneity was observed among studies (I > 75%).

AI-driven medical imaging exhibits strong predictive capability for thoracic tumor TIME, particularly in PD-L1 expression and CD8+ TIL prediction. However, significant interstudy heterogeneity limits the generalizability of current models. Future studies should prioritize multicenter, large-scale research, standardization of imaging feature extraction, and integration of biological mechanisms to improve the clinical applicability of AI models.

论文信息

作者
Liu M、Gong J、Liu Y、Meng F、Shi Z、Cui Y、Zhao L
第一作者单位
XI 'AN Medical university, Xi'an, Shaanxi Province, China (M.L.); State Key Laboratory of Holistic Integrative Management of Gastrointestinal Cancers and Department of Radiation Oncology, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China (M.L., J.G., Y.L., F.M., Z.S., Y.C., L.Z.).China
通讯作者单位
State Key Laboratory of Holistic Integrative Management of Gastrointestinal Cancers and Department of Radiation Oncology, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China (M.L., J.G., Y.L., F.M., Z.S., Y.C., L.Z.). Electronic address: zhaolina@fmmu.edu.cn.China
文献类型
荟萃分析 · 系统综述 · 非美国政府资助研究
期刊
Academic radiology2026 Mar
原文标识
PubMed 41206268 · DOI 10.1016/j.acra.2025.10.002